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Jun,  Duk Bin Emeritus Professor 사진
Jun, Duk Bin Emeritus Professor
Contact Information
  • Office.SUPEX 286
  • Tel.82-2-958-3634
  • E-mail.dbjun@kaist.ac.kr
  • Homepage/Lab. Lab.
Research Areas Business & Economic Forecasts and Strategies
Biography

Education

    ▶ University of California, Berkeley, Ph. D., 1985
    ▶ SNU(Seoul National University) Department of Industrial Engineering, Bachelor 1981

Career

    ▶ General Chair, The 33rd International Symposium on Forecasting held in Korea (2013)
    ▶ Associate Editor, Journal of Forecasting (2008 – present)
    ▶ Vice President, The Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society (2008 – present)
    ▶ Editor, Journal of Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society (2006-2008)
    ▶ Department Chair, KAIST Management Engineering (2004-05)
    ▶ Researcher, Institute of Transportation Studies (ITS), UC Berkeley (1990-91)
    ▶ Professor, KAIST Business School (1989-Present)
    ▶ Professor, Industrial Engineering, KyungHee University (1985-89)
Publications & Research

Publications (patents, etc.)

    ■ "Effect of general health checks on the treatment of chronic diseases: accounting for self-selection in the retrospective cohort study using Korea National Health Insurance data" with S. Yoon and S. Park, BMJ Open, vol. 13, 2023.
    ■ "The effect of epidemic outbreak on healthcare usage: Lessons from the 2015 Middle East respiratory syndrome outbreak in South Korea" with J. Park and S. Park, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), vol. 185, pp. 1319-1343, 2022.
    ■ "Copula-based direct utility models for correlated choice alternatives" with C. Kim and S. Park, Quantitative Marketing and Economics, vol. 20, pp. 69-99, 2022.
    ■ "Impact of differential copayment on patient healthcare choice: evidence from South Korean National Cohort Study" with S. Jo and S. Park, BMJ Open, vol. 11, 2021.
    ■ "Individual and group advice taking in judgmental forecasting: Is group forecasting superior to individual forecasting?" with H. Y. Kim and Y. S. Lee, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, vol. 33, pp. 287-303, 2020.
    ■ "The effect of general health checks on healthcare utilization: accouting for self-selction bias" with S. Yoon and S. Park, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), vol. 183, pp. 3-36, 2020.
    ■ "A Choice-Based Diffusion Model for Multi-Generation and Multi-Country Data" with H. S. Lim and M. Hamoudia, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 147, pp. 163-173, 2019.
    ■ "The effect of relative performance feedback on judgmental forecasting accuracy" with H. Y. Kim and Y. S. Lee, Management Decision, vol. 57, pp. 1695-1711, 2019.
    ■ "Capturing flexible correlations in multiple-discrete choice outcomes using copulas" with C. Kim and S. Park, International Journal of Research in Marketing, vol. 35, pp. 34-59, 2018.
    ■ "Forecasting Annual Lung and Bronchus Cancer Deaths by Using Individual Survival Times" with K. Kim and M. H. Park, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32, pp. 168-179, 2016.
    ■ "Temporal Disaggregation: Methods, Information Loss, and Diagnostics" with J. H. Moon and S. Park, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, vol. 34, 2016.
    ■ "Modeling Patronage Shift to a New Entrant for Predicting Disproportionate Losses for Incumbent Outlets" with J. Kim, M. H. Park, and K. C. Cha, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 28, pp. 660-674, 2012.
    ■ "Parameter Space Restrictions in State-Space Models" with D. S. Kim, S. Park, and M. H. Park, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 31, pp. 109-123, 2012.
    ■ "A Choice-Based Multi-Product Diffusion Model Incorporating Replacement Demand" with J. I. Kim, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, vol. 78, pp. 674-689, 2011.
    ■ "A Simultaneous Test of Unit Root and Level Change" with D. K. Park, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 29, pp. 301-312, 2010.
    ■ "Managing and Modeling the Price Reduction Effect in Mobile Telecommunications Traffic" with K. C. Cha, A.R. Wilson, and Y. S. Park, Telecommunications Policy, vol. 32, pp. 468-479, 2008.
    ■ "Bridging Telecommunications Service: Its Concept and Related Management Strategy" with J. H. Ahn, K. C. Cha, and M. H. Park, Telecommunications Policy, vol. 28, pp. 733-750, 2004.
    ■ "Forecasting Telecommunication Service Subscribers in Substitutive and Competitive Environments" with S. K. Kim, Y. S. Park, M. H. Park, and A. R. Wilson, International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 18, pp. 561-581, 2002.
    ■ "Forecasting Demand for Low Earth Orbit Mobile Satellite Service in Korea" with S. K. Kim, M. H. Park, M. S. Bae, Y. S. Park, and Y. J. Joo, Telecommunication Systems, vol.14, pp. 311-319, 2000.
    ■ "A Choice-Based Diffusion Model for Multiple Generations of Products" with Y. S. Park, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, vol. 61, pp. 45-58, 1999.
    ■ "State Space Model Trend-Cycle Decomposition of the ARIMA(1,1,1) Process" with Y. J. Joo, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 16, pp. 411-424, 1997.
    ■ "Growth Cycle Decomposition Diffusion Model" with Y. J. Joo, Marketing Letters, vol. 7, pp. 207-214, 1996.
    ■ "Predicting Turning Points in Business Cycles by Detection of Slope Changes in the Leading Composite Index" with Y. J. Joo, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 12, pp. 197-213, 1993.
    ■ "Comment on Variance Intervention", Journal of Forecasting, vol. 8, pp. 417-418, 1989.
    ■ "On Detecting and Estimating a Major Level or Slope Change in General Exponential Smoothing", Journal of Forecasting, vol. 8, pp. 55-64, 1989.
    ■ "Bayesian Forecasts Following a Major Level Change in Exponential Smoothing" with R. M. Oliver, Journal of Forecasting, vol. 4, pp. 293-302, 1985.

Research Areas

    ■ Business & Economic Forecasts and Strategies, Quantitative Marketing, Finacial Time Series Analysis
Teaching

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting(BME551)

    Statistical Analysis Methods(BME501)

      Management Statistical Anlaysis(BIZ500)

        Contact : Joo, Sunhee ( shjoo2006@business.kaist.ac.kr )

        Faculty & Research

        KCB ISSUE